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viernes, 3 de marzo de 2023

Acerca de las causas de mortalidad en exceso

 


Excess deaths discussion[1]

Prof. Fenton and Dr. John Campbell

Summary:

There is no evidence that vaccination reduces mortality

There is increased mortality in the younger age group for the vaccinated

The non-covid mortality rate is much lower than covid mortality rate

Mortality rate is artificially inflated in the non-vaccinated group and is artificialy reduced in the vaccinated group

The overall mortality is higher in the vaccinated group and

Overall mortality is lower in the unvaccinated group

The data (about vaccine safety and efficacy) is so unreliable (and)

There are so many inconsistences on the data that

Any data about vaccine safety and efficacy need to be retracted (min. 5.40)

(the data) is no reliable to make such claims

(the oficial ONS website -  Office for National Statistics[2]) has sloppy mistakes

The ONS underestimates the true population proportion unvaccinated

It makes the overall mortality higher in the unvaccinated group

It makes the vaccines look safer than they are

And it makes the vaccinated rate mortality lower than they are in fact

The mainstream media jumped on to this (mistakes) pretty quickly

What they are doing (mainstreams and media) is picking out this headlines

This artificially created lower rates in the vaccinated than the unvaccinated

The data for the three first months about vaccinated has vanished

It’s convenient for them to miss that out because we know that was a period that was particularly bad at missclasifying recently deceased vaccinated people a lot of those who died shortly after vaccination were being classified as vaccinated

It has happened

That period where that was those errors were most intense has now been removed

So we have got many changes in the data

If you try to compare the data before with the data that there’s now

Why would there be such an incredibly high mortality rate for those who are first dose at least 21 days ago, so these people are people who didn’t get a second dose

Something is not quite rigth with their classifications (ONS)

(in the second table)  you can see that the raw mortality rate is much higher (six times higher in vaccinated) in the ever vaccinated than the never vaccinated (min. 17, 40)

We simply want to know the total number of deaths and the total number of people in each of the vaccinated and the unvaccinated

In different ages categories, the (mortality rate) unvaccinated migth be higher in that categories, whereas in average categories, it migth be lower and that’s what we are interested in so

We can conclude that the people over 50, the vaccine is causing less deaths,

Whereas in the under fifth is this causing more of this

I’m getting frustrated by not being given the data we actually want

(next slide, min. 26.15) the blue line is the unvaccinated

It’s not really very convincing evidence of the vaccine (…) it’s not being particularly effective

(next slide, min. 26.57)

The plot, the bold lines are the exact plot that was in the Daily Mail

The all cause mortality rate in the unvaccinated is much higher than the vaccinated (…) that’s what is showing: it is showing that the overall, the all cause mortality in the unvaccinated is higher than in the ever vaccinated, so that value appears to provide strong evidence to support the vaccine; that particular plot was emphasized by everybody who wanted to promote this data al ultimate proof that there’s no harm and a lot of Benefit in the vaccines

(next slide, min. 29:20) this plot is from the previous report

This simple graph proved sistemyc bias/confounding through one or more of:

          -missclasification of vaccinated deaths as unvaccinated;

          -underestimating the population proportion of unvaccinated;

          -‘healthy vaccine bias’

You can see the non-covid age standarized mortality rate is much higher than the unvaccinated

And this is driving the all cause mortality because the covid numbers are relatively small in comparison with the non-covid rates

This must be a problema with the data because if this is a non-covid mortality, what the hell has a vaccination got anything to do with this

You have a massive peak at the beginning of mortality of non-covid reasons

You see the ever vaccinated, the never vaccinated non-covid mortality rate is lower than the historical mortality rates pre-covid, so what this is saying in their data is that the vaccination has some miracle death preventing Powers for non-covid illness, that’s, stop people dying

Whereas it’s causing people to die who are unvaccinated for things other than covid

And because that peak at the beginning is causing them to die at the very time when the vaccine rolled out

When you roll out the vaccine all the unvaccinated suddenly drop death

What the plot proves is the sistematic bias of confounding of one or more of missclasification of vaccinated deaths as unvaccinated,

Underestimating the proportion the population pool through them vaccinated;

Also there is probably a healthy vaccine bias, wich is the Young, the healthier people to get vaccinated (…) in that case, if there’s such a bias you would always in studies like this you would always adjust the all-cause mortality rates to take account of that bias and they haven’t done that and all that bias is loaded in to that to those all-cause mortality overall figures that you saw

The next slide shows they have not fixed this problema in the latest data

It’s actually got worse

(next slide, min. 32:08)

That is the same data faces a standardized a mortality rate for the unvaccinated at the top against the ever vaccinated (so) you’ve got that same massive bias; these lines should be the same (min. 32:29)

The problem has got worse and they have not adjusted in any way for this massive bias

(next slide; min. 32:44)

Estimate of unvaccinated proportion is 10%. This is much too high. THE PROBLEM IS THAT THE UNVACCINATED PROPORTION IS TOO LOW AND THEY HAVE NOT FIXED THE PROBLEM.

They were estimating that the unvaccinated proportion overall is 10%, it is much too high

You can prove this data is wrong

On March 2022 they estimated the unvaccinated were 6.19% in the UK on the ages 50-59 years old

If you look at UKHSA in the exact month, you find that 87% of the 50-59 age group were vaccinated in March 2022; that means that 13% were unvaccinated, no 6.19% (…) over twice as many the ONS is estimating and this is a massive difference when it comes to calculating because that is effectively the nominator for these age standardized mortality; that problem has not been fixed.

The core death counts are still unreliable and inaccurate: missclasification is still happening: exempli gratia, for example, there were some people who were vaccinated but not included in the NIMS (National Inmunization Management System) data as they died soon after vaccination.

The next one has the problem of missclasification

(there’s a chat between the representative of the ONS and another scientist)

The representative of the ONS (whose name is Sarah Caul) basically saying she’s not sure, AND SHE IS IN CHARGE OF THIS! (min. 36.16)

The missclasification and the link with the NIMS is a problem that clearly has not been resolved

Another scientist claims that there is missing data in table two, in table five, in table four, and various errors more that hasn’t been resolved

(next slide, min. 39:33) just look the absolute numbers of deaths by these different age; again you can see the ever vaccinated: the numbers are much, much higher than the unvaccinated; this is confounded by the fact that as people in the older age groups are vaccinated, so if you’re over 90 almost everyone’s vaccinated so obviusly all of the deaths are going to be in the vaccinated, but if you go on to the next slide, if we take this example here for clarification these group here would be those that are unvaccinated and then the lower group would be those that are vaccinated, the red line are the vaccinated

There are far more deaths amongst the vaccinated than the unvaccinated

(next slide, min. 40:54)

You can see the absolute number of covid deaths there; it’s much higher in the vaccinated because obviously still lots more people in that age group are vaccinated;

The vacunation was going to stop hospitalization and deaths of covid;

You weren’t go to die from covid if you were vaccinated

Look at those covid deaths in the vaccinated; this shouldn’t be if vaccine was working

The top line is the vaccinated;

The bottom line is the unvaccinated

More people is dying in the vaccinated group than the unvaccinated

(next slide, min. 42:49) the number of vaccinated deaths relative to the vaccination population for that age group and what you can see is the ever vaccinated population

Basically generally lower than the number of people dying, so we see elevated mortality rates for the vaccinated since the start of 2022 when covid represents less than 10% of deaths

The vaccinated disproportionately (represents) more of all the deaths, so this is real evidence that the vaccine is doing more harm, more risk than the benefits of the vaccine in that age group from 18 to 39

(slide, min. 43:42)

Vaccinated deaths relative to vaccinated population – ages 18-39: “Consistently, we see elevated mortality rates for the vaccinated since the start of 2022 when covid represents les than 10% of deaths but the vaccinated disproportionally more of all deaths” (Joel Smalley).

The deaths are higher in the vaccinated group than the unvaccinated

Summary:

None of the core limitations and flaw of the previous report have been resolved.

The higher non-covid mortality rates in the unvaccinated confirm there are biasis/confounders still not adjusted for.

There is still gross underestimation of the proportion of unvaccinated in the population. This artificially inflates mortality rates of unvaccinated and reduces rates of vaccinated.

THAT IS THE THING THAT MAINSTREAM MEDIA PICKED UP AND THEY HAVE FAILED TO LOOK THROUG AT THE DETAILS WICH REVEAL THAT THE REALITY IS VERY DIFFERENT TO THAT.

Use of new census data means the data in previous reports has changed significantly, but seems no more reliable.

The data for months Jan-March 2021 have been removed. These were the months that especially exposed missclasification of deaths shortly after vaccination.

There are numerous errors in the data and key data are missing or (are) difficult to analyse.

Even with all biasis (EVEN IF YOU USE THEIR DATA) is still no clear evidence that the vaccine has reduced all-cause mortality; the evidence actually points to safety risks especially in the younger age groups.

So, you can’t know the very real problem of excess mortality that’s going on in the country and indeed around the world.

It’s quite depressing

In these data are so many flaws that we can’t waste time even looking at it.

The problem is that despite what the statistics regulator said, all the media, the politicians, were using these data and the headlines figures from it as evidence to prove that the vaccines were safe and effective.

What the mainstream media is doing is just cut and pasting.

The conclusions, the summary data from the Office of National Statistics, but like you and these other world leading experts that we looked at, who take the core data that we are actually allowed, are coming to very different conclusions.

 


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